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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2020-07-05T17:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2020-07-05T17:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/15629/-1
CME Note: The start time of the CME was changed as seen on SOHO LASCO. There were two CMEs, an earlier one headed towards STA that overlaps with this event that was seen around 2020-07-05T14:24Z. CME arrival date/time is not certain as there are two potential flux ropes. From Lan Jian First CME short and weak, arrived at around 20:45 UT on July 8. Another flux rope seen in the second half day of July 9, with slightly stronger peak magnetic field strength around 15:50UT.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2020-07-09T15:50Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2020-07-09T13:00Z
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)
Prediction Method Note:

KSWC ENLIL settings:
ENLIL version: 2.7e
Resolution: low (256x30x90)
Ambient settings: a5b1
WSA version: 2.2


CME input parameters
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 20200705T23:31
Radial velocity (km/s): 366
Longitude (deg): -23
Latitude (deg): -1.7
Half-angular width (deg): 12

Notes:

Lead Time: 59.83 hour(s)
Difference: 2.83 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by RWC Jeju (KSWC) on 2020-07-07T04:00Z

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